FedWatch's 60.4% Isn't the Coin Flip. The October 71% Is the Real Signal for Crypto.
September 8. The year is missing from the dataset, but the probabilities carr...
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2026-09-08
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Event Calendar
202618
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
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28 Gwei
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3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
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0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
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All →
1
Bitcoin
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1
Ethereum
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1
Solana
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$96.81
1
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BNB
$711.9
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.28
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0799
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1937
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.23
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.9425
1
Chainlink
LINK
$10.86
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0x0e57...4e23
6h ago
Out
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🟢
0x84c9...e7ff
2m ago
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🔵
0x42bf...87dd
30m ago
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2,733,563 USDC
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79%
0x3849...1333
Early Investor
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82%
0x6e4e...c3d3
Institutional Custody
+$0.6M
78%